Polymarket sees $26.6K wager for $3.55M payout if MicroStrategy sells BTC by May 31 2026 outcome flips to yes.

Strategy sold 32 BTC for $2.47M, causing trader willo2 to lose $527K on Polymarket after resolution ruled against the bet on MicroStrategy BTC sales before May 31.

MicroStrategy sells 32 BTC for first time in six years as Bitcoin trades at $71699.93 with bearish 4h structure.

According to @ki_young_ju, capital inflows into Bitcoin have dried up and liquidity channels are now more diverse, making inflow timing pointless, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Jan 8, 2026. He added that long-term institutional holding has disrupted the old whale-to-retail sell cycle, reducing the probability of deep drawdowns, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Jan 8, 2026. He stated MicroStrategy will not dump any significant chunk of its 673k BTC, which he views as removing a major supply overhang risk, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Jan 8, 2026. He said capital has rotated to stocks and gold, and he does not expect a 50%+ crash from the all-time high, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Jan 8, 2026. He expects boring sideways price action for the next few months and cautioned that shorting here in hopes of a crash is risky, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Jan 8, 2026.